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The First Principles of Property Tax

Property tax isn't a random number; it is a simple mathematical function of three variables. Regardless of your state, the formula is:

$$Tax = (Market Value \times Assessment Ratio - Exemptions) \times Millage Rate$$

Regional Estimation Guides

Michigan (MI): The "Pop-Up" Tax State

In Michigan, taxes are governed by Proposal A. When a property is sold, the taxable value "pops up" to the State Equalized Value (SEV).

  • The Principle: Do not look at the seller's current taxes. They are irrelevant to you.

  • Estimation Rule: Take 50% of your purchase price (this is your estimated SEV). Multiply that by the local millage rate (typically 30–55 mills depending on the city).

  • Pro Tip: If the home will be your primary residence, ensure you account for the Principal Residence Exemption (PRE), which can reduce your tax bill by roughly 18 mills.

Florida (FL): Save Our Homes (SOH)

Florida rewards long-term residents through the "Save Our Homes" cap, which limits increases in assessed value.

  • The Principle: Like Michigan, the previous owner’s tax bill is a "trap." Assessment resets to market value upon transfer.

  • Estimation Rule: Estimate taxes at roughly 1.5% to 2% of the purchase price for a safe baseline before exemptions.

  • The "Save Our Homes" Benefit: Once you own the home, assessment increases are capped at 3% annually. If you move within FL, you may be able to "port" your tax savings to the new property.

California (CA): The Prop 13 Standard

California has the most predictable first-year tax calculation in the country due to Proposition 13.

  • The Principle: Base tax is capped at 1% of the assessed value (purchase price).

  • Estimation Rule: Start with 1% of the price, then add "Voter Approved Indebtedness" and Mello-Roos (special assessments common in newer developments).

  • Total Target: Budget for 1.2% to 1.25% of the purchase price to account for these local bonds.

Primary Source Government Links

Michigan (MI)

Florida (FL)

California (CA)

The FPP "Tax Trap" Warning

Regardless of the state, we advise every client to follow the First Principle of Transfer: > Never rely on a seller’s current tax bill. Government sites often provide a "Current Taxes" look-up, but as a new buyer, your taxes will almost always be higher because the sale triggers a "reassessment to market value". Always use the Estimator tools linked above, not the Tax History search.

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First Principles Partners LLC is a real estate consulting and advisory firm, not a licensed real estate brokerage. All professional real estate brokerage services, including the execution of purchase agreements and listing contracts, are performed by John Gravelyn in his capacity as a licensed Real Estate Salesperson in the State of Michigan (Lic. #6501466388), affiliated with eXp Realty. First Principles Partners LLC operates independently of eXp Realty to provide data analytics, strategic planning, and project management support.

Broker Address: 39555 Orchard Hill Place, Suite 600, Novi, MI 48375

Broker Phone: 888-501-7085

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